Amendment 3, which would raise the homestead property tax exemption to $250,000 for non-school taxes, has 44% support among likely voters in a new St. Pete Polls survey for Florida Politics. The measure needs 60% to pass. Thirty-nine percent of respondents said they oppose it, and 17% are undecided with six days until Election Day.
The survey, conducted Oct. 25 through 27 among 916 likely voters, shows support slipping since September. Opposition has climbed 9 points over that stretch. Forty-six percent of respondents said they have already voted, and that group opposes the measure 45% to 40%.
Support is strongest among Republicans, at 62% to 24%. Democrats oppose it 61% to 23%, and independents are split evenly at 39% each. Voters under 30 oppose the amendment 63% to 28%. In South Florida, the survey found Miami at 44% support and 35% opposed, and West Palm Beach at 43% to 38%.
The amendment would also cut the annual cap on assessment increases for non-homestead property from 10% to 5% and limit how counties and cities spend property tax revenue. State economists project it would reduce local non-school property tax revenue by $4.95 billion in fiscal 2027-28, with no replacement funding.
Gov. Ron DeSantis, gubernatorial nominee Byron Donalds and the Republican Party of Florida back the measure. The Florida Sheriffs Association, the Florida State Fraternal Order of Police and the Florida Professional Firefighters oppose it. The margin of error is plus or minus 3.2 percentage points.